Marseille look to build on their return to winning ways at the weekend in this UEFA Europa League (UEL) clash when they welcome an Olympiacos side gathering momentum under new boss Imanol Alguacil.
Match News and Current Form
Sunday’s 2-0 win over Troyes ended Marseille’s five-match losing run, which included a 4-1 hammering by Beşiktaş on UEL matchday one. This stage has brought little relief to Les Olympiens of late, as they’ve lost their last three major European games, their worst run since an eight-game sequence that ended in November 2020. If there is a silver lining to the dark clouds surrounding the Stade Vélodrome, then their excellent record here in this competition might be it given they’re unbeaten across their last ten UEL home matches in the competition proper (W6, D4).
Olympiacos have won their last three fixtures by one-goal margins as Alguacil continues to mould them into a tough side to beat following his September appointment. He takes charge of a club with enormous European pedigree, and the 2023/24 Conference League champions opened their UEL campaign with a 2-1 win over Jagiellonia Białystok on matchday one, the most recent result in a streak of six wins from their last ten UEL main draw fixtures (D3, L1). They’ve also lost just one of their last four away UEL proper games (W2, D1), giving them further encouragement for this trip, although that sequence did start after a defeat in France, when they lost 2-0 to Lyon in September 2024.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille have won four of the six previous H2Hs (L2) with five of those games decided by a one-goal margin. Olympiacos have lost 13 of their 17 major European games against French opponents (W4), including each of the last four.
Hot Stats and Streaks
Marseille’s last four competitive fixtures stood level at the break.
Marseille had fewer shots than their opponents in their last five matches.
Six of Olympiacos’s last eight European games produced under 2.5 goals.
None of Olympiacos’s last seven UEL main draw away fixtures saw both teams score.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Angel Gomes might be on the referee’s radar having been booked in Marseille’s last two fixtures, but both of his goal contributions this season (G1, A1) coming at home suggest he could make a positive impact too. All three of Roman Yaremchuk’s UEL goals for Olympiacos came from the bench, while two of his last three goals for the club arrived after the 80th minute.
Marseille are missing key midfielder Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, while Olympiacos will remain without Ayoub El Kaabi.
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Betting Analysis
Marseille’s struggles and Olympiacos’ growing resilience suggest this could be a cagey affair, so backing under 2.5 goals could be a solid option.
Author: John Pennington