Rayo Vallecano and Alavés have lived up to their mid-table expectations so far, making this a crucial opportunity for both clubs to keep in touch with the European placings.
Match News and Current Form
Rayo Vallecano have transformed their season in recent weeks, ending a six-match winless league run (D2, L4) by posting successive victories to nil. Momentum slowed a little in midweek for Iñigo Pérez’s men, as they were held to a 2-2 draw away to Häcken in the UEFA Conference League, although their 103rd minute equaliser should at least have made the near five-hour journey home a little more bearable. That midweek jaunt rounded off a spell of three successive away games for Rayo, who return to Estadio de Vallecas seeking to end a five-match winless La Liga run (D4, L1), with a defeat against Sevilla in their last such outing meaning they could fall to back-to-back home league defeats for the first time in 2025 here.
Alavés have unwillingly been a model of inconsistency throughout the season as far as results are concerned, with each of their La Liga games producing a different outcome to the last (W3, D3, L3). Drawing at home to Valencia in their last outing would suggest this game will be decided one way or another, but recent history would hint it won’t be in the visitors’ favour. Alavés have been beaten in three of their last six La Liga away games (W2, D1), three times as many as they’d suffered in the nine such matches prior (W2, D6), yet with their last four defeats on the road in La Liga coming by a 1-0 scoreline, they’re unlikely to be disgraced if they do stumble here.
Head-to-Head History
Rayo could win three consecutive games against Alavés for the first time in their history here. With three straight wins and clean sheets in home H2Hs, they’re well poised to do so.
Win ProbabilityOpta by StatsPerform
Hot Stats and Streaks
The team that scored first won ten of Rayo's 13 competitive matches this season (D3).
Rayo haven’t scored a home league goal before the hour mark this season.
Sixteen of Alavés’ last 19 La Liga matches produced under 2.5 goals.
Ten of Alavés’ last 11 La Liga defeats were by a one-goal margin.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Already enjoying his joint-second most successful La Liga season in terms of goals (four), Jorge de Frutos has won ten of his 12 competitive goalscoring appearances (D2) for the club. Alavés’ Lucas Boyé has netted a career-high four goals from four games against Rayo, despite losing in three of those appearances.
Rayo are close to full strength here, while Alavés have no known absences.
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Betting Analysis
Rayo's struggles at home make the draw an appealing prospect.
